The great doubts about Maduro's election victory are likely to lead to a mass exodus.

opposition candidate Edmundo Gonzalez He won 44.1% of the vote. However, surveys conducted by independent institutes after the election clearly showed González in the lead. González commented: “The country has chosen change.” The real results cannot be hidden.

On the other hand, skeptics are mostly united in their fears of a massive new wave of migration from Venezuela. Thomas Wieland of the church aid organization Adveniat predicts that “three to four million people in Venezuela are sitting on overcrowded suitcases.”

Maduro's thugs are out

Tens of thousands of former Venezuelans waited outside Venezuelan embassies around the world for the results. Many longed to finally be able to return to their homeland. When independent polling institutes projected a clear victory for González in post-election polls, many celebrated with jubilation. The landing was even harder after midnight, when the official results were announced.

While in damned Caracas”Collective“, the paramilitary gangs When the regime leaders came out to intimidate the opposition, the mood outside the embassies turned to pure despair and anger.

The dream of democratic change through the most peaceful means of all, elections, has been shattered for the second time since 2015. Back then, the opposition won a nearly two-thirds majority in parliamentary elections. Shortly after, Maduro simply dissolved the National Assembly.

Russia, China, Iran And Cuba However, he acknowledged victory. There is a major role now. Brazil And Colombia It happens. Both countries are ruled by democratic leftists who have recently cautiously distanced themselves from Maduro. The two neighboring countries will also have to bear the brunt of the new exodus.

How will Colombia and Brazil react?

In addition to the political proximity between the presidents Gustavo Petro And Luiz Inacio “Lula” da Silva Maduro is increasingly a liability from the past. For them, dealing with the election results is a tightrope walk: Petro is already facing major problems in maintaining the fragile peace process, for which he needs Venezuela.

Lula, his domestic political rival, will face credibility problems. Jair Bolsonaro He should continue to charge Maduro with electoral crimes in connection with the riots after his presidential election, and allow Maduro’s obvious manipulations to pass.

Refugee wave likely to impact US election

However, the events will also have a special impact on the US election campaign. For Vice President Kamala Harrisand maybe the opponent Donald Trump The news from Caracas is devastating. Images of a new wave of migration in the middle of an election campaign would be perfect for Trump’s campaign.

Many young Venezuelans in particular have made their stay in the country dependent on the outcome of these elections.