US Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris has a lead over former Republican President Donald Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. In a poll released Thursday, Harris leads with 45 percent approval, followed by Trump with 41 percent. The survey, conducted Wednesday through Wednesday over the past eight days, shows that Harris' support comes primarily from women with Hispanic roots and U.S. citizens.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll from late July showed Harris leading Trump by just one percentage point among registered voters. The new poll has a two percent margin of error. But Trump is ahead in key swing states.
According to the survey, Harris was ahead of Trump among women and Hispanic voters — 49 percent to 36 percent, according to the data. That means it has increased for both groups compared to last July's survey. Trump, on the other hand, was leading among white voters and men.
The data also show how much the race has changed ahead of the Nov. 5 vote, with 81-year-old President Joe Biden defecting to the Democratic Party in July. Incumbent Vice President Harris has won over Trump — in national polls and in US states considered swing states, meaning their support has swung between Democrats and Republicans in the past. In the seven states with the closest results in the 2020 presidential election — Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, Michigan and Nevada — Trump led Harris by 45 percent to 43 percent approval. In general, a close result is expected due to the relatively complicated electoral process in the United States.
Matt Volking, a Republican campaign expert, said the race against Harris is a bigger challenge for Trump than the campaign against Biden. But Harris is “insurmountable” to Trump. Above all, Trump must be careful not to scare off voters who have leaned toward him in the past by rejecting Biden.
For his part, Harris is rallying Democrats closely behind him: About 73 percent of Democratic voters surveyed said they were looking forward to the election more eagerly than candidate Biden. The number of voters who openly cite Harris as a reason to vote Democratic also increased — and they don't want to vote for the party to prevent Trump from becoming president.
Harris now wants to join his vice presidential nominee Tim Walls on Thursday for a major television interview for the first time since the joint official nomination by Democrats. Harris has previously retreated here and rarely made himself available in interviews and press conferences. Both now wanted to answer questions from CNN in the state of Georgia. The interview should be broadcast in its entirety on Friday (local time).
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